The ISM Numbers - Expanding Economy

(Tempe, Arizona) — Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector expanded in April, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, C.P.M., CFPM, chair of the Institute for Supply Management™ Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee; and senior vice president — supply management for Hilton Hotels Corporation. "The NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) increased 2.4 percentage points to 52 percent, indicating expansion after three consecutive months of contraction within the non-manufacturing sector for April 2008.

The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased 1.3 percentage points to 50.9 percent. The New Orders Index decreased 0.1 percentage point to 50.1 percent, and the Employment Index increased 3.9 percentage points to 50.8 percent. The Prices Index increased 1.3 percentage points to 72.1 percent in April, indicating a faster rate in price increases than in March. According to the NMI, 12 non-manufacturing industries reported growth in April. Members' comments in April continue to be mixed and vary by industry. The inflationary pressures of rising fuel, energy and commodity prices are of major concern for members."
INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE (Based on the NMI)

The 12 industries reporting growth in April based on the new NMI composite index — listed in order — are: Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Mining; Wholesale Trade; Public Administration; Educational Services; Construction; Utilities; Retail Trade; and Information.

The six industries reporting contraction in April are: Other Services*; Transportation & Warehousing; Finance & Insurance; Accommodation & Food Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; and Management of Companies & Support Services.

The NMI is a composite index based on the diffusion indexes for four of the indicators with equal weights: Business Activity (seasonally adjusted), New Orders (seasonally adjusted), Employment (seasonally adjusted) and Supplier Deliveries. Diffusion indexes have the properties of leading indicators and are convenient summary measures showing the prevailing direction of change and the scope of change. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the non-manufacturing economy in that index is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. Supplier Deliveries is an exception. A Supplier Deliveries Index above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries and below 50 percent indicates faster deliveries.